The WCI Scenario Simulator_2Aug2024 is designed to model the demand and supply for the linked California-Quebec program. The model is updated with the new smoothed scenario options released by CARB on July 10, 2024. The model enables users to tweak the emissions trajectory of both Quebec and California and see how changing demand and supply scenarios alter the market dynamics.
This tool solves for the problem of pricing of carbon credits in the Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM). For this opaque and illiquid market, the user can generate accurate price estimates for offset trades defining specific attributes, enabling them to benchmark their own Bids/Offers.
The California LCFS was cCarbon's first foray into Clean Fuel credit markets. CA LCFS forms the second part of ARB's (the State's regulator) ""belt 'n' braces” approach to emission reductions. With transportation emissions at around half of covered emissions of the state cap-and-trade market, when the LCFS market is tight and prices high, there is comparatively less pressure on the CaT market, and vice versa. Neither market can be effectively understood or modeled without fully comprehending the other.
RGGI is the oldest carbon emissions market in North America. We've reported on it for a decade and have had a full product on it since 2020. Its structuring and Supply-Demand balance have lessened interest in it as an investable asset, nonetheless a clear forward picture of RGGI is important to understand the decision-sets of several major American energy firms.
Our first and founding market, referencing our former name as CaliforniaCarbon.info. We've been leading analysts in this market since its inception in 2013, the regulators have long been subscribers and regularly quoted our work in board meetings. We've maintained consistent market-leading >99% accuracy in emissions forecasting and have deep-rooted networks with most corners of this market.
OR CFP is an oligopoly with importers of gasoline, diesel, ethanol, biodiesel, and renewable diesel forming the demand side. The program has also voluntary participants such as providers of natural gas, propane, electricity, and hydrogen. Higher credit prices in Oregon CFP is an attractive tool for fuel importers who are looking to set up import infrastructure for the North American clean fuel market. Liquid biofuels such as biodiesel, renewable diesel and ethanol are the major credit generators in this market.
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