Analytics Toolkit

Market Type:
OR CPP Compliance Calculator v1.0
Oregon CPP, RGGI, Washington CaI, WCI CaT
Cap-and-Trade
23 April 2025

The OR CPP Compliance Calculator is a tool designed to help users estimate their total CCI (Compliance Credit Instrument) spends and plan their compliance obligations across the lifetime of Oregon’s Climate Protection Program. It is split into two modules—Fuel Supplier and Natural Gas—reflecting the distinct allocation rules and compliance dynamics specific to each entity type

Alberta-Scenario-Simulator
Alberta Scenario Simulator_v1.1
Alberta TIER
Cap-and-Trade
7 April 2025

cCarbon's Alberta TIER Credits Model forecasts credit supply based on CCUS growth under three scenarios: Accelerated, Baseline, and Slow. The model predicts a surplus of credits by the decade’s end, driven by government-backed CCUS projects. In the Baseline scenario, additional CCUS plants from 2027 push the surplus to 80 million, while the Accelerated scenario sees 95 million surplus allowances due to 130 million sequestration credits from 2025-2030. Only the Slow scenario, with weak oil growth, results in a tighter market by 2030.

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BC LCFS Scenario Simulator v1.0
BC LCFS
Clean Fuel Standards
24 March 2025

The British Columbia Low Carbon Fuel Standard (BC LCFS) aims to reduce the carbon intensity of transportation fuels by requiring fuel suppliers to lower emissions through blending low-carbon alternatives like renewable diesel (RD), biodiesel (BD), ethanol, and other clean fuels, or by acquiring compliance credits. The regulation is driving fuel blending strategies and shaping credit markets across the province. To support stakeholders in navigating this dynamic environment, cCarbon has developed a BC LCFS Scenario Simulator. This tool offers insights into credit generation, deficits, and blending patterns across various fuel types. By enabling users to adjust key variables and evaluate market impacts, the simulator facilitates data-driven decision-making in the BC LCFS landscape.

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CA LCFS Scenario Simulator with Alternative Effective Dates v3.0
CA LCFS
Clean Fuel Standards
21 March 2025

The California LCFS was cCarbon's first foray into Clean Fuel credit markets. CA LCFS forms the second part of ARB's (the State's regulator) ""belt 'n' braces” approach to emission reductions. With transportation emissions at around half of covered emissions of the state cap-and-trade market, when the LCFS market is tight and prices high, there is comparatively less pressure on the CaT market, and vice versa. Neither market can be effectively understood or modeled without fully comprehending the other.

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Oregon CPP Scenario Simulator v1.0
RGGI, Washington CaI, WCI CaT, Alberta TIER
Cap-and-Trade
6 March 2025

cCarbon's OR CPP Scenario Simulator aims to provide a tool to calculate market outcomes at an aggregate level for all entities covered under the CPP program by tweaking the pace of decarbonization and early reduction instruments in the program.

WCA-Scenario-Simulator
WCA Scenario Simulator_06Mar2025
Washington CaI
Cap-and-Trade
6 March 2025

The WCA market simulator is designed to model the demand and supply for the Washington CaI program. The model allows users to choose between two different scenarios for demand, supply and pricing.

Alberta-Scenario-Simulator
Alberta Scenario Simulator_v1.0
Alberta TIER
Cap-and-Trade
6 March 2025

cCarbon's Alberta TIER Credits Model forecasts credit supply based on CCUS growth under three scenarios: Accelerated, Baseline, and Slow. The model predicts a surplus of credits by the decade’s end, driven by government-backed CCUS projects. In the Baseline scenario, additional CCUS plants from 2027 push the surplus to 80 million, while the Accelerated scenario sees 95 million surplus allowances due to 130 million sequestration credits from 2025-2030. Only the Slow scenario, with weak oil growth, results in a tighter market by 2030.

RGGI-Scenario-Simulator
RGGI Scenario Simulator_04Mar2025
RGGI
Cap-and-Trade
4 March 2025

The RGGI Scenario Simulator is designed to model the demand and supply for the RGGI cap-and-trade program. The model is updated with the new scenarios proposed by RGGI.

WCA-Scenario-Simulator
WCI Scenario Simulator_4Mar2025
WCI CCOs & WCOs, WCI CaT
Cap-and-Trade
4 March 2025

The WCI Scenario Simulator is designed to model the demand and supply for the linked California-Quebec program. The model is updated with the new proposed changes to the market.

RGGI-Scenario-Simulator
CFS - Incentive Calculator
CFS Cross-Market
Clean Fuel Standards
25 February 2025

This Clean Fuel Incentive Calculator is designed to estimate the total incentives available for biofuels under various low-carbon fuel policies from the perspective of a U.S. producer. It helps users evaluate potential incentives under programs such as California LCFS, Oregon CFP, Washington CFS, British Columbia LCFS, and Canada CFR.

Canada-CFR-Scenario-Simulator
Canada CFR Scenario Simulator_10Feb2025
Canada CFR
Clean Fuel Standards
10 February 2025

The Canada Clean Fuel Regulations (CFR) aim to reduce the carbon intensity of liquid fuels by requiring fuel suppliers to blend renewable diesel (RD), biodiesel (BD), ethanol, and other low-carbon fuels or trade credits to comply. The regulation is shaping compliance strategies and influencing fuel and credit markets.

RGGI-Scenario-Simulator
Washington CFS Scenario Simulator_10Feb2025
WA CFS
Clean Fuel Standards
10 February 2025

The Washington Clean Fuel Standard (WA CFS) market aims to reduce the carbon intensity of transportation fuels by incentivizing low-carbon alternatives through a credit and deficit system. It plays a crucial role in decarbonizing the fuel supply, promoting renewable diesel (RD), biodiesel (BD), and other clean fuels to meet state emissions reduction targets. To help clients navigate this evolving market, cCarbon has developed a WA CFS Scenario Simulator, providing a real-time view of credits, deficits, and the credit bank.

Oregon-CFP-Scenario-Simulator
Oregon CFP Scenario Simulator v1.0
OR CFP
Clean Fuel Standards
3 February 2025

OR CFP is an oligopoly with importers of gasoline, diesel, ethanol, biodiesel, and renewable diesel forming the demand side. The program has also voluntary participants such as providers of natural gas, propane, electricity, and hydrogen. Higher credit prices in Oregon CFP is an attractive tool for fuel importers who are looking to set up import infrastructure for the North American clean fuel market. Liquid biofuels such as biodiesel, renewable diesel and ethanol are the major credit generators in this market.

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CA LCFS Scenario Simulator v2.0
CA LCFS
Clean Fuel Standards
23 December 2024

The California LCFS was cCarbon's first foray into Clean Fuel credit markets. CA LCFS forms the second part of ARB's (the State's regulator) ""belt 'n' braces” approach to emission reductions. With transportation emissions at around half of covered emissions of the state cap-and-trade market, when the LCFS market is tight and prices high, there is comparatively less pressure on the CaT market, and vice versa. Neither market can be effectively understood or modeled without fully comprehending the other.

WCA-Scenario-Simulator
WCI Scenario Simulator_02Aug2024
WCI CCOs & WCOs, WCI CaT
Cap-and-Trade
2 August 2024

The WCI Scenario Simulator is designed to model the demand and supply for the linked California-Quebec program. The model is updated with the new proposed changes to the market.

CA-LCFS-Scenario-Simulator
CA LCFS Scenario Simulator v1.0
CA LCFS
Clean Fuel Standards
30 May 2024

The California LCFS was cCarbon's first foray into Clean Fuel credit markets. CA LCFS forms the second part of ARB's (the State's regulator) ""belt 'n' braces” approach to emission reductions. With transportation emissions at around half of covered emissions of the state cap-and-trade market, when the LCFS market is tight and prices high, there is comparatively less pressure on the CaT market, and vice versa. Neither market can be effectively understood or modeled without fully comprehending the other.

Carbon-Offset-Price-Estimator
Carbon Offset Price Estimator
VCM,
Carbon Offsets
23 April 2024

This tool solves for the problem of pricing of carbon credits in the Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM). For this opaque and illiquid market, the user can generate accurate price estimates for offset trades defining specific attributes, enabling them to benchmark their own Bids/Offers.

RGGI-Scenario-Simulator
RGGI Scenario Simulator_16Feb2024
RGGI
Cap-and-Trade
16 February 2024

The RGGI Scenario Simulator is designed to model the demand and supply for the RGGI cap-and-trade program. The model is updated with the new scenarios proposed by RGGI.

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