Alberta TIER Market: A New Model for NA Carbon Markets | Analyst Note | June 2023

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Alberta TIER Market: A New Model for NA Carbon Markets | Analyst Note | June 2023

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Alberta TIER

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Alberta TIER Market: A New Model for NA Carbon Markets | Analyst Note | June 2023

Thursday, 1st June 2023

Our cCarbon Outlook model for Alberta points towards a surplus of credits in the later half of the decade. CCUS projects which the Alberta Government has been promoting – is expected to significantly increase supply of offsets. CCUS build-out remains a huge unknown – a timely opening of the proposed plants would saturate market.

Table of Content

Introduction

Technology Innovation and Emissions Reduction

New TIER Program (2023 Amendments)

Historic Compliance

EPC’s, Offsets and CCUS Stacking

Sector-wise Credit/Deficit Projections

Modelling and Market Outlook

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cCarbon has mapped both the demand as well as supply of SAF to size the market. The research indicates that global SAF consumption in 2022 (as per offtake agreements) stood at 494 million litres.

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