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British Columbia Low Carbon Fuels Standards 2030 Outlook | Analyst Note | October 2025

Thursday, 30th October 2025

In 2008, British Columbia enacted the Greenhouse Gas Reduction (Renewable and Low Carbon Fuel Requirements) Act to establish renewable content and GHG reduction targets for transportation fuels. Building on this, the BC Low Carbon Fuel Standard (BC-LCFS) introduces progressively stricter carbon intensity reduction targets, supporting the transition to cleaner fuels and increased adoption of zero-emission vehicles through compliance obligations, credit systems, and ongoing market oversight. This analyst note highlights cCarbon’s CarbonOutlook Model for the BC LCFS market, provides an overview of the program, examines biofuel and EV trends, and presents a demand-supply outlook through 2030.

 

 

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cCarbon has mapped both the demand as well as supply of SAF to size the market. The research indicates that global SAF consumption in 2022 (as per offtake agreements) stood at 494 million litres.
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