• Price Commentary
  • Weekly Carbon Outlook (Jun 13, 2016)
Weekly Carbon Outlook (Jun 13, 2016)
WCI CaT
Monday, 13th June 2016
Ronjoy Bezbarua

  [Download link at the bottom of this post]

      A. Trading Report

  • Front prices rise a further $0.16, reaching $12.62 and $12.68 for the benchmark
  • Record fall in OI, 3,691,000 contracts are liquidated from the front and benchmark
  • Volume growth again to reach auction cycle peak of 7,431,000

      B. Price Expectations

  • Rising prices and falling OI traditionally signals a weakening market
  • Convention may not apply given prevalence of non-market drivers
  • Expected V16 ranges: $12.60 – $12.65 (Front); $12.66 – $12.71 (Benchmark)   

      C. Sectorial Positions

  • Refineries may provide buy-side interest

      D. CCO Tracker

  • Camco projects gain 20,436 CCOs and 83,454 CCO-3 conversions
  • First Quebec project to gain credits for a second reporting period.
  • 820,857 new ROCs; ROC pipeline rises to 3.57 million
  • 4 new verifier appointments

      E. Policy Tracker

  • No Legislative Updates

F. Key Dates

  • June 20 – 2nd Joint Agency SB 350 Meeting

 

Download this report (pdf)   

 

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