Oregon has set ambitious environmental goals, aiming for a 10% decrease in carbon intensity by 2025 and more significant reductions by 2030 and 2035.
This analyst note introduces an enhanced version of the cCarbon LCFS Model, which has been employed to assess the feasibility of various reduction targets and programme designs for the year 2030, considering different scenarios. We have updated the price forecasts till the year 2030. The fuel demand and credit demand/supply model has been updated to the year 2045. The forecast for fuel demand include the impact of the ZEV selling obligation, which includes Advanced Clean Cars II, Advanced Clean Trucks, and Advanced Clean Fleets. The note also presents a comprehensive collection of data from several scenarios related to topics that are relevant to the 2023 rulemaking process for the Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS). The objectives for 2030 encompass a 35% reduction, the implementation of an automatic acceleration mechanism, and a goal of achieving a 45% decrease in carbon intensity (CI). In addition, there is a baseline scenario that aims to achieve a 30% decrease in CI. The model considers different scenarios which were discussed in the April 10, 2024 CARB LCFS workshop: 5%, 7%, 9% and double AAM.
Canada CFR Market Outlook 2030 offers an updated outlook for Canada CFR up to 2030. It provides insights on the supply/ demand of credits from different pathways.
cCarbon’s 2023 analyst note provides a comprehensive analysis of corporate climate initiatives worldwide, offering insights into market trends, type of deal, valuations, and geographical distribution. The analyst note helps in assessing the trends in deals, the markets currently being targeted and serves as an important guide for investors and clients in this space.
In this analyst note we establish a modeling framework and evaluate the viability of technologically ready ethanol production coupled to capture in the United States. The analysis considers different units and activities of operation, location, and lifecycle carbon emission assessment to find out the key bottlenecks in the ethanol-ccs value chain.
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